Who can control house price direction not to weigh the track of an overturned cart of skip Hong Kong
Too much person invests, enough supports house price; Spending of too much person does not rise, tall house price is afterwards hard. So --
House price, towards the left, right?
The beginning of the year begins, concerned house price rises those who drop contend for incessant Yu Er. Add from the Central Bank since breath, argumentative all the more is intense, and more and more the mood is changed. The sound that comes from consumer of orgnaization of business of director branch, development, intermediary, expert and each level, layer cascade is folded, also nip is being wrapped " bubble " billowy and come. In the controversy reputation that has in this rumble, this year 3 quarters, 35 big in urban house price is in sound of a bubble " honor permits no turning back " the ground rises continuously, house sale price is compared the corresponding period rose last year 9.9% . Meanwhile, wide the Shanghai estate market that gets industry attention is appearing the circumstance that supply is more than demand, and be in early the Central Bank decided to add on October 28 before breath, the changeover signal of Shanghai estate market already also was given out.
Then, about " inflection point " judgment is increasing also, have more very person, somebody decided a few cities directly " inflection point " schedule, also somebody now the feature of building city and the building city 10 years ago answer relatively one by one, go out in summary " such likeness " later, "Collapse dish theory " circulate in in the bookshops all the time...
Perhaps this is one did not lose winning debate, perhaps this is a match that does not have a result, but having a bit is affirmation: Too much person invests, enough supports house price; Spending of too much person does not rise, tall house price is afterwards hard. This edition undertook one time combing to coming from the different phenomenon of industry, different sound here, the progress that the hope can give prospective estate the market provides a bit inspiration, also go to prospective market at the same time situation do forecast easy to read and understandly, in order to offer buy job person referenced.
The viewpoint collides
Rise? Fall? Price of house of word of numerous mouth diverse and confused
Existence 3 into drop space
Yang Shen of chairman of Chinese estate association is attended 13 days in Chongqing " report of Chinese economic situation and seminar of real-estate industry current situation " when say, although our country real estate does not have bubble according to the view of concerned personage, but if use governmental hand to have reasonable adjusting control, show a house price to still have 30% drop space.
Although Yang Shen also agrees " at present industry of our country real-estate is not put in bubble and overheat phenomenon " view, but the issue with house price too sharp amplitude also nots allow to ignore. Price of our country house rose 30% compared to the same period last year much, those who exceeded calendar year go up. Rate of this kind of growth all over the world any countries had not appeared.
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